SOLUTION: Jim is the team statistician. Based on the team's record so far, Jim estimates the probability of winning any given game is 0.54. Use a normal approximation to estimate the probabi

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Question 1206486: Jim is the team statistician. Based on the team's record so far, Jim estimates the probability of winning any given game is 0.54. Use a normal approximation to estimate the probability the team will win at least 16 of the season's scheduled 31 games.
Answer by ikleyn(52814)   (Show Source): You can put this solution on YOUR website!
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Jim is the team statistician. Based on the team's record so far, Jim estimates the probability
of winning any given game is 0.54. Use a normal approximation to estimate the probability
the team will win at least 16 of the season's scheduled 31 games.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 

The oroginal experiment is a Binomial, but we have an instruction to use a normal distribution
as an approximation.


So, for the normal distribution we use the mean m = n*p = 0.54*31 = 16.74
and the standard deviation SD =  =  = 2.775 (rounded).


After that, we calculate the estimate normal probability, using the standard function normcdf 
of the regular calculator TI-83/84

                 z1   z2   mean    SD              <<<---=== formatting pattern
    P = normcdf(15.5,9999, 16.74, 2.775) = 0.6725.


Here the value 15.5 is the continuing correction factor, which serves as approximation for "at least 16".


ANSWER.  The estimated probability is 0.6725.

Solved.



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