SOLUTION: Q (3): Suppose there is a factory with three assembly lines (A, B, and C) that each make the same part. 50% of parts produced by the factory come off of assembly line A, 30% come

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Question 938077: Q (3): Suppose there is a factory with three assembly lines (A, B, and C)
that each make the same part. 50% of parts produced by the factory come
off of assembly line A, 30% come off of assembly line B, and 20% come
off of assembly line C. Finished parts can be categorized as either
defective or not. It is known that 0.4% of the parts from line A are defective,
0.6% of the parts from line B are defective, and 1.2% of the parts from line
C are defective. Find:
i) The probability of selecting a defective part
ii) If we are holding a defective part in our hand, what is the
probability that it came from assembly line B?

Answer by ewatrrr(24785)   (Show Source): You can put this solution on YOUR website!
 
Hi
A: .50, (.004def) .002
B: .30 (.006def) .0018
C: .20 (.012def) .0024
tot: .0062
choose one
P(def) = .0062 0r .62%
....
P(A|B) = P(A and B)/P(B)
P(B |def) = = .2903 0r 29.03 %
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