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Kenji is doing an experiment in mathematics class. He has flipped a coin 10 times and has obtained a tail on each trial. He says that his luck is sure to change and that he will surely obtain a head on the next trial.
a. How would you respon to Kenji?
WELL THE PROBABILITY AT ANY TIME IN A SINGLE ATTEMPT IS 1/2=0.5= 50%
b. Have you ever heatd individuals in gaming situations make claims similar to Kenji's? Are they justified? Explain.
YES OFCOURSE ALWAYS OR MORE NUMBER OF TIMES THAN OTHERWISE PROBABLY.
IN A WAY WE CAN SAY THE CLAIM IS JUSTIFIED AS IN A CUMULATIVE EXPERIMENT OF 10 OR MORE NUMBER OF THROWS THE EXPECTATION IS 10*0.5=5 OR MORE.SO IT IS HIGH TIME THE TURN OF THE COIN SHOULD CHANGE UNLESS IT IS A LOADED COIN