SOLUTION: A family has six children (no twins). What is the probability that this family has three boys and three girls ?

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Question 247118: A family has six children (no twins). What is the probability that this family has three boys and three girls ?

Answer by Edwin McCravy(20054) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
A family has six children (no twins). What is the probability that this family has three boys and three girls ?

In a binomial problem where there are n independent trials, 
then the probability of getting exactly x successes and exactly 
n-x failures, where the probability of 1 success in one 
trial is p, is given by the formula:

%22P%28n%2Cx%29%22=%28nCx%29%2Ap%5Ex%2A%281-p%29%5E%28n-x%29

and the formula for %28nCx%29 is

%28nCx%29=%28n%2Fx%29+%28%28n-1%29%2F%28x-1%29%29+%28%28n-2%29%2F%28x-2%29%29%22%B7%B7%B7%22%28%28n-x%2B1%29%2F1%29%29

Yours is a binomial problem where there are n = 6 trials, and
we want the probability of getting exactly x = 3 "successes"
(boys) and exactly n-x = 6-3 = 3 "failures" (girls), where the
probability of 1 "success" (boy) in one trial is p = 1%2F2.

The formula for %28nCx%29 is

%28nCx%29=%28n%2Fx%29+%28%28n-1%29%2F%28x-1%29%29+%28%28n-2%29%2F%28x-2%29%29%22%B7%B7%B7%22%28%28n-x%2B1%29%2F1%29%29

Substituting first in

%28nCx%29=%28n%2Fx%29+%28%28n-1%29%2F%28x-1%29%29+%28%28n-2%29%2F%28x-2%29%29%22%B7%B7%B7%22%28%28n-x%2B1%29%2F1%29%29

%286C3%29=%286%2F3%29%285%2F2%29%284%2F1%29%29=%286%2A5%2A4%29%2F%283%2A2%2A1%29=120%2F6=20

then in

%28nCx%29=%28n%2Fx%29+%28%28n-1%29%2F%28x-1%29%29+%28%28n-2%29%2F%28x-2%29%29%22%B7%B7%B7%22%28%28n-x%2B1%29%2F1%29%29

%22P%286%2C3%29%22=%2820%29%2A%281%2F2%29%5E3%2A%281-1%2F2%29%5E%286-3%29

%22P%286%2C3%29%22=%2820%29%2A%281%2F2%29%5E3%2A%281%2F2%29%5E3

%22P%286%2C3%29%22=%2820%29%2A%281%2F8%29%2A%281%2F8%29

%22P%286%2C3%29%22=20%2F64

%22P%286%2C3%29%22=5%2F16

--------------------------------------------

Another way to do the problem is:

First calculate the numerator of the probability,
the number of ways to have exactly 3 boys among the
6 children

There are 6 children:

1st-born, 2nd-born, 3rd-born, 4th-born, 5th-born, 6th-born

We want the number of ways we can choose 3 out of these 6 for the
3 boys.  This is "6 choose 3" or 6C3 = 20

Then we calculate the denominator of the probability,
the number of ways to any of the 6 can have either sex.

There are 2 choices for the 1st-born (B or G), then
there are 2 choices for the 2nd-born (B or G), then
there are 2 choices for the 3rd-born (B or G), then
there are 2 choices for the 4th-born (B or G), then
there are 2 choices for the 5th-born (B or G), then
there are 2 choices for the 6th-born (B or G).

That's 2%2A2%2A2%2A2%2A2%2A2+=+2%5E6=64

So the desired probability is 20%2F64 or 5%2F16.

Edwin