A family has six children (no twins). What is the probability that this family has three boys and three girls ?
In a binomial problem where there are n independent trials,
then the probability of getting exactly x successes and exactly
n-x failures, where the probability of 1 success in one
trial is p, is given by the formula:
and the formula for
is


Yours is a binomial problem where there are n = 6 trials, and
we want the probability of getting exactly x = 3 "successes"
(boys) and exactly n-x = 6-3 = 3 "failures" (girls), where the
probability of 1 "success" (boy) in one trial is p =
.
The formula for
is


Substituting first in


then in


--------------------------------------------
Another way to do the problem is:
First calculate the numerator of the probability,
the number of ways to have exactly 3 boys among the
6 children
There are 6 children:
1st-born, 2nd-born, 3rd-born, 4th-born, 5th-born, 6th-born
We want the number of ways we can choose 3 out of these 6 for the
3 boys. This is "6 choose 3" or 6C3 = 20
Then we calculate the denominator of the probability,
the number of ways to any of the 6 can have either sex.
There are 2 choices for the 1st-born (B or G), then
there are 2 choices for the 2nd-born (B or G), then
there are 2 choices for the 3rd-born (B or G), then
there are 2 choices for the 4th-born (B or G), then
there are 2 choices for the 5th-born (B or G), then
there are 2 choices for the 6th-born (B or G).
That's
So the desired probability is
or
.
Edwin