SOLUTION: There is a gambling game where equal-weight balls with numbers ranging from 1 to 15 are placed inside a tambiolo and mixed. Without replacement, three balls are chosen at random an

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Question 1197440: There is a gambling game where equal-weight balls with numbers ranging from 1 to 15 are placed inside a tambiolo and mixed. Without replacement, three balls are chosen at random and are then chosen one by one.

a. Mr. Lewis always bets that none of the 3 balls will include consecutive digits in the outcome. How likely is it that something will occur?

b. As long as he wins 9 bets, Mr. Lewis will have enough money to continue playing the game. What is the chance that he will only place a total of 12 bets?

Found 2 solutions by Edwin McCravy, ikleyn:
Answer by Edwin McCravy(20054)   (Show Source): You can put this solution on YOUR website!
I can only help you with the (a) part.


(a) We calculate the number of ways to get a successful choice of 3 balls.

There are 15C3 = [(15)(14)(13)]/[(3)(2)(1)] = 455 ways to choose any 3 balls.

From those 455, we will subtract the number of unsuccessful choices,
i.e., those containing a pair of consecutive choices.

There are 14 pairs of consecutively numbered balls: {1,2},{2,3},...,{14,15}

For each of those pairs of balls we can select a third ball to go with it
in 13 ways.  That's (14)(13) = 182 ways.

However, among that 182, we have counted each case of the following 13 choices
twice each:
{1,2,3},{2,3,4},...{13,14,15}

To show that, take for example the choice {6,7,8}.  It was counted once when
we put 8 with the pair {6,7} and again when we put 6 with the pair {7,8}.

So we subtract to get 182-13 = 169 unsuccessful choices. 

We subtract these 169 ways from the 455 to get 455-169=286 possible successful
choices.

So the probability that Mr. Lewis makes a successful choice is 286/455 = 22/35

(b) I suspect I do not not understand the game well enough to do the (b) part.
As I see it, there is not enough information.  We are not told how much money he
wins or how much it costs to place a bet.  As I see it, the problem will be
quite different if he walks into the casino with millions of dollars in his
pocket than if he walks in with only enough money to play once, and wins enough
each time to continue playing 12 times.  So it looks to me as if we would also
need to know how much he wins per successful bet.  As I said, I suspect I do not
understand the game well enough to answer the (b) part.  Perhaps another tutor
who understands the game will jump in here.  Otherwise post again, explaining
how the game operates a little better.  

Edwin


Answer by ikleyn(52777)   (Show Source): You can put this solution on YOUR website!
.


I will not solve anything in this problem.
I only will make necessary editing to exclude explicit deficiencies.


    There is a  game where equal-weight balls with numbers ranging from 1 to 15 are placed 
    inside a tambiolo and mixed. Without replacement, three balls  are randomly chosen one by one.

    a. Mr. Lewis always bets that none of the 3 balls will include consecutive  numbers in the outcome. 
       How likely is it that something will occur?


        This editing in  NECESSARY:  otherwise,  this wording does not fit into any gate.


Also,  the meaning of the question  " How likely is it that something will occur? "  is unclear.

What exactly  " will occur " ?   What is  " something "  in this question ?
        3 balls with consecutive numbers will occur or an opposite case ?

Edwin calculated the probability that consecutive numbers do not occur;
but the question can be interpreted as  " find the probability that consecutive numbers will occur ".


So,  the meaning of your question is dark.


This post is a champion among other posts coming to the forum :   the question can be read,  interpreted and understood in two opposite ways.


Please show my notes to your professor and discuss them with him (with her).


If you personally know the person who created this post,  then please pass to him (or to her) my opinion
that such writing is  NOT  ALLOWED  in Math.



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