.
A box contains 3 blue and 4 red marbles while another box contains 2 blue and 5 red marbles. A marble drawn at random
from one of the boxes turns out to be blue. What is the probability that it came from the first box?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
You can compute this probability in two different ways.
One way is P = = = = = = 0.6 = 60%.
This formula is the version of the conditional probability in the full space of events.
The other way is P = = = = 0.6 = 60%.
This formula is the version of the conditional probability in the reduced space of events.
Both formulas are SELF-EXPLANATORY,
and both formulas give THE SAME answer.
Solved.