The numbers 000, 001, 002, ..., 999 is 1000 possibilities. My probability of choosing the right sequence from those is 1/1000 or 0.001 Winning or loss probability Expectation $300.39 0.001 $300.39(0.001)=$0.30039 <--expected win -$ 0.86 0.999 -$ 0.86(0.999)=$0.85914 <--expected loss ---------------------------------------------------------- Total expectation=-$0.55875 You can expect to average losing about 56 cents per play if you play many times. When you lose 999 times and win 1 time it'll only reimburse you for $301.25 of the $860 you've paid to play. Edwin