SOLUTION: Suppose that in the maintenance of a large medical records file for insurance purposes the probability of an error in processing is 0.0010, the probability of an error in filing is

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Question 1132996: Suppose that in the maintenance of a large medical records file for insurance purposes the probability of an error in processing is 0.0010, the probability of an error in filing is 0.0009, the probability of an error in retrieving is 0.0012, the probability of an error in processing as well as filing is 0.0002, the probability of an error in processing as well as retrieving is 0.0003, the probability of an error in filing and retrieving is 0.0002 and the probability of an error in processing and filing as well as retrieving is 0.0001.
a) Obtain the probability of making at least one of these errors?
b) Obtain the probability of making none of these errors?

Answer by ikleyn(52921)   (Show Source): You can put this solution on YOUR website!
.
In this problem, you are given three subsets


    C = errors in proCessing          ( P(C) = 0.0010 )

    F = errors in filing              ( P(F) = 0.0009 )

    R = errors in retrieving          ( P(R) = 0.0012 )


and their intersections, subsets


    CF = errors in processing AND retrieving   ( P(CF) = 0.0002 )

    CR = errors in processing AND retrieving   ( P(CR) = 0.0003 )

    FR = errors in filing AND retrieving       ( P(FR) = 0.0002 )

    CFR = errors in processing AND filing AND retrieving  ( P(CFR) = 0.0001 ).



From the Probability theory, if you are given three sets of events C, F, R and their in-pair 
intersections  CF, CR, FR  and their in-triple  intersection CFR,  then

    P( C U F U R ) = P(C) + P(F) + P(R) - P(CF) - P(CR) - P(FR) + P(CFR).                        (1)



So, apply this formula and substitute there all given data. You will get

     the probability of making at least one of these errors = 

     = P( C U F U R ) = 0.0010 + 0.009 + 0.0012 - 0.0002 - 0.0003 - 0.0002 + 0.0001 = 0.0106.    (2)


It is the ANSWER to question (a).



The answer to question (b) is the COMPLEMENT to (2)

    the probability of making none of these errors = 1 - P( C U F U R ) = 1 - 0.0106 = 0.9894.

Solved.

-----------------

As you see,  the solution requires a long explanation;

but if you know the general formula  (1),  the solution is  elementary.



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