The primes are 2,3,5, the non-primes are 1,4,6 Let x = probability of a non-prime, then 2x = probability of a prime P(1)=P(4)=P(6)=x, P(2)=P(3)=P(5)=2x P(1 or 4 or 6) = x+x+x = 3x P(2 or 3 or 5) = 2x+2x+2x = 6x 3x + 6x = 1 9x = 1 x = 1/9 P(1 or 4 or 6) = 3x = 3(1/9) = 1/3 P(2 or 3 or 5) = 6x = 6(1/9) = 6/9 = 2/3 At most 2 times means 0 times, 1 time, or 2 times. P(5) = 2x = 2(1/9) = 2/9 P(not 5) = 1-2/9 = 9/9-2/9 = 7/9 P(no times) = (15C0)(2/9)^0(7/9)^15 = (1)(1)(0.0230586012) = 0.0230586012 P(1 time) = (15C1)(2/9)^1(7/9)^14 = (15)(2/9)(0.029646773) = 0.0988225767 P(2 times) = (15C2)(2/9)^2(7/9)^13 = (105)(4/81)(0.0381172796) = 0.1976461533 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- P(rolling five 0,1, or 2 times) = sum of those = 0.3195263312 Or you can do it on a TI-83 or 84 this way: Press 2ND VARS then scroll down to binomcdf( press ENTER if you have wizard [trials:15, p:1/9, x value: 2, scroll to Paste] either way you should have this: binomcdf(15,1/9,2) press ENTER see answer .3195263312 -------------------------------------------------- Expected value = 1(1/9)+2(2/9)+3(2/9)+4(1/9)+5(2/9)+6(1/9) = = 1/9+4/9+6/9+4/9+10/9+6/9 = 31/4 = 7 3/4 = 7.75 Now even though you'll never expect a value of 7 3/4 ever :), if you rolled the die 15 times every day for a year, and averaged up the value you got each day, you would get an average very close to 7.75. So "expected value" really means "expected AVERAGE value if the experiment were repeated many times". Edwin