The other tutor gave the probability of selecting the first 8 correctly. But that's not what was asked. You were asked for the probability of this: After putting 18 names with 18 trees, discovering that you have placed exactly 8 names correctly with the trees and placed all remaining 10 names incorrectly with trees. You'd have to be studying combinatorial analysis to have such a problem as this. But maybe you are. If so, then: We can choose the 8 trees to get correct in C(18,8) ways. However to get the number of ways to get all the other 10 incorrect, we must make use of the formula for the number of "derangements". That is, the number of permutations of a1,a2,...an such that no ak is in position k. That number is !n or "n subfactorial", where !n = ⎣(e+e-1)n!]-⎣e·n!⎦ for n ≥ 2 where ⎣ ⎦ indicates the floor function. !10 = ⎣(e+e-1)10!]-⎣e·10!⎦ = 1334961 Number of successful ways = C(18,8)×(!10) = 43758×1334961=58415223438 Number of possible ways = 18! = 6402373705728000 So the probability of placing exactly 8 correct and exactly 10 incorrect is 58415223438/6402373705728000 = 0.0000091239946499, approximately. Number of unsuccessful ways = 6402373705728000-58415223438 = 6402315290504562 Odds in favor = 58415223438:6402315290504562 Odds against = 6402315290504562:58415223438 or odds against getting exactly 8 right and 10 wrong are about 109600 to 1. Edwin