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A and B play 12 games of chess of which 6 are won by A, 4 are won by B and two ends in a tie.
They agree to play a tournament consisting of 3 games. Find the probability that
a) A wins all three games
b) Two games end in a tie
c) A and B wins alternatively
d) B wins at least one game
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This problem is, actually, a standard problem of this class, but expressed in slightly unusual terms,
which may create difficulties to you in understanding its meaning.
Therefore, I will re-formulate this problem EQUIVALENTLY in familiar terms.
+------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| In a bag, there are 6 black balls (A wins), 4 white balls (B wins) |
| and 2 blue balls (ends in a tie). |
| You draw 3 of these balls randomly without replacement. |
| (a) What is the probability to draw 3 black balls ? |
| (b) Two balls are blue |
| (c) White and Black ball are drawn alternatively |
| (d) B wins at least one game |
+------------------------------------------------------------------------+
So I will solve this problem with the balls, instead of considering chess games played in a tournament.
SOLUTION
(a) In all, there are = = 220 different triples of balls.
It is the samples space.
Of them, there are = = 20 triples consisting of black balls
(analog to "A wins all three games").
THEREFORE, the probability under the problem's question is = . ANSWER
(b) In this case, there are = 2*10 = 20 favorable cases.
THEREFORE, the probability under the problem's question is = . ANSWER
(c) In this case. P = P(White,Black,White) + P(Black,White,Black) =
+ = = = . ANSWER
Solved.
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At this point, I will stop.
I left part (d) unsolved - because I don't like to have (to solve) toooooooo many problems in one post.
PLEASE DO NOT PACK many / (tooooo many) problems in one post.
It is PROHIBITED by the rules of this forum, and it ALWAYS works against your own interests.
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The solution by @ewatrrr is INCORRECT, and her interpretation of the problem is INCORRECT, too.
So, ignore her post for your safety.