SOLUTION: if you know the names of the remaining 8 students in the spelling bee, what is the probability of randomly selecting an order and getting the order that is used in the spelling bee

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Question 1011085: if you know the names of the remaining 8 students in the spelling bee, what is the probability of randomly selecting an order and getting the order that is used in the spelling bee?
Answer by Theo(13342)   (Show Source): You can put this solution on YOUR website!
there are 40320 possible arrangements.

that would be 8!

the probability of picking the correct order randomly would be 1 / 40320 = .0000248015873.

in order words, the probability of picking the correct order on a random basis, such as picking the names out of a hat, is not very good.

for example:

suppose there were only 3 reamining candidate.

3! = 3*2 = 6

there would be 6 possible arrangements.

if the candidates were abc, then the 6 possible arrangements would be:

abc
abc
bac
bca
cab
cba

for 4 candidates, multiply 6 * 4 = 24
then 5 * 24 = 120
then 6*120 = 720
then 7*720 = 5040
then 8 * 5040 = 40320

1 / 6 is manageable.
1 / 24 less.
1 / 8 becomes pretty impossible.


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