Which are likely to be independent events? For those you think are not, suggest reason why.
a. Gender of two consecutive babies born in a hospital.
b. Car accident rates and the driver’s gender.
c. Phone call arrival rates at a university admissions office and time of day.
Two events are independent if the knowledge that
one has occurred does not make the occurrence of
the other either more likely or less likely.
First we'll look at c:
>>...Phone call arrival rates at a university admissions
office and time of day...<<
The probability of a phone call changes if we are given
that the time is 6AM. So they are NOT independent.
Now we'll look at b:
>>...Car accident rates and the driver’s gender...<<
The probability of an accident changes if we are given
that the driver is a young male. So they are NOT
independent.
>>...Gender of two consecutive babies born in a hospital...<<
The probability that the second baby is a boy DOES NOT change
if we are given that the first baby is a girl. It also does
not change if we are given that the first baby is a boy.
So they ARE independent. The correct choice is a.
Edwin